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PoGoBud

Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Invite 2 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Chewtle's top six counters needs 1.58 trainers (round up: 2), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 1.95 (round up: 2). The raid timer is 300 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 7:16. No level in this range makes it soloable with a prepared party. A duo works from level 25.
Chewtle · Elite
water
Weak to
grasselectric
Boss CP
18,243
Boss HP
20,000
Raid timer
300s
Party used
6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Chewtle at each attacker level
Attacker levelSix of the best counterA prepared partyA mixed local groupPrepared solo timeFaints per timer
Level 203(2.30)3(2.27)3(2.74)10:286.0
Level 252(1.90)2(1.95)3(2.39)8:596.0
Level 302(1.67)2(1.74)3(2.14)8:005.9
Level 352(1.51)2(1.65)3(2.04)7:345.9
Level 402(1.46)2(1.58)2(1.95)7:165.7
Level 452(1.43)2(1.52)2(1.88)7:005.6
Level 502(1.38)2(1.47)2(1.82)6:465.5

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

2 trainers at level 40

  • Regieleki1.46

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

2 trainers at level 40

  • Regieleki1.46
  • Kartana1.57
  • Thundurus (Therian)1.59
  • Zeraora1.60
  • Xurkitree1.60
  • Zekrom1.66

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

2 trainers at level 40

  • Meowscarada1.88
  • Necrozma (Dawn Wings)1.89
  • Roserade1.89
  • Raikou1.90
  • Tapu Bulu1.94
  • Zapdos1.96

The party these numbers assume

1. Regieleki
Lock-On + Thunder Cage
2. Kartana
Razor Leaf + Leaf Blade
3. Thundurus (Therian)
Volt Switch + Wildbolt Storm
4. Zeraora
Volt Switch + Plasma Fists
5. Xurkitree
Thunder Shock + Discharge
6. Zekrom
Charge Beam + Fusion Bolt

See the full ranked counter list for Chewtle · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.