Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Raid bossTierIVsWeatherFriendshipDodgingShadow attackersMega attackersLegendary attackers

Invite 2 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Burmy's top six counters needs 1.47 trainers (round up: 2), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 1.73 (round up: 2). The raid timer is 300 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 6:46. No level in this range makes it soloable with a prepared party. A duo works from level 20.

Burmy · Elite

bug

Weak to

flyingrockfire

Boss CP: 9,520
Boss HP: 20,000
Raid timer: 300s
Party used: 6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Burmy at each attacker level
Attacker level	Six of the best counter	A prepared party	A mixed local group	Prepared solo time	Faints per timer
Level 20	2(1.64)	2(1.99)	3(2.35)	9:10	3.7
Level 25	2(1.46)	2(1.75)	3(2.07)	8:04	2.9
Level 30	2(1.33)	2(1.59)	2(1.88)	7:19	2.3
Level 35	2(1.28)	2(1.53)	2(1.80)	7:03	2.1
Level 40	2(1.23)	2(1.47)	2(1.73)	6:46	2.0
Level 45	2(1.19)	2(1.43)	2(1.68)	6:34	1.9
Level 50	2(1.15)	2(1.39)	2(1.63)	6:23	1.8

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

2 trainers at level 40

Blacephalon1.23

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

2 trainers at level 40

Blacephalon1.23
Rayquaza1.38
Reshiram1.48
Salamence1.56
Moltres1.58
Enamorus (Incarnate)1.60

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

2 trainers at level 40

Blaziken1.68
Staraptor1.70
Glimmora1.70
Rampardos1.70
Zacian (Crowned Sword)1.70
Heatran1.72

The party these numbers assume

1. Blacephalon

Incinerate + Mind Blown

2. Rayquaza

Air Slash + Dragon Ascent

3. Reshiram

Fire Fang + Fusion Flare

4. Salamence

Fire Fang + Fly

5. Moltres

Fire Spin + Fly

6. Enamorus (Incarnate)

Fairy Wind + Fly

See the full ranked counter list for Burmy · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.