Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Raid bossTierIVsWeatherFriendshipDodgingShadow attackersMega attackersLegendary attackers

Invite 2 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Azumarill's top six counters needs 1.60 trainers (round up: 2), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 1.92 (round up: 2). The raid timer is 300 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 7:21. No level in this range makes it soloable with a prepared party. A duo works from level 25.

Azumarill · Tier 5

waterfairy

Weak to

poisongrasselectric

Boss CP: 20,100
Boss HP: 15,000
Raid timer: 300s
Party used: 6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Azumarill at each attacker level
Attacker level	Six of the best counter	A prepared party	A mixed local group	Prepared solo time	Faints per timer
Level 20	3(2.36)	3(2.29)	3(2.74)	10:31	6.0
Level 25	2(1.92)	2(1.98)	3(2.37)	9:07	6.0
Level 30	2(1.74)	2(1.76)	3(2.13)	8:07	5.9
Level 35	2(1.67)	2(1.68)	3(2.01)	7:43	5.9
Level 40	2(1.52)	2(1.60)	2(1.92)	7:21	5.9
Level 45	2(1.46)	2(1.53)	2(1.87)	7:02	5.8
Level 50	2(1.42)	2(1.48)	2(1.79)	6:48	5.8

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

2 trainers at level 40

Regieleki1.52

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

2 trainers at level 40

Regieleki1.52
Kartana1.57
Zeraora1.60
Thundurus (Therian)1.61
Xurkitree1.63
Eternatus1.64

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

2 trainers at level 40

Electivire1.86
Rillaboom1.86
Necrozma (Dusk Mane)1.88
Zacian (Crowned Sword)1.87
Roserade1.88
Raikou1.92

The party these numbers assume

1. Regieleki

Thunder Shock + Thunder Cage

2. Kartana

Razor Leaf + Leaf Blade

3. Zeraora

Volt Switch + Plasma Fists

4. Thundurus (Therian)

Volt Switch + Wildbolt Storm

5. Xurkitree

Thunder Shock + Discharge

6. Eternatus

Poison Jab + Sludge Bomb

See the full ranked counter list for Azumarill · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.