Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Raid bossTierIVsWeatherFriendshipDodgingShadow attackersMega attackersLegendary attackers

Invite 2 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Aipom's top six counters needs 1.22 trainers (round up: 2), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 1.49 (round up: 2). The raid timer is 300 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 5:37. No level in this range makes it soloable with a prepared party. A duo works from level 20.

Aipom · Tier 5

normal

Weak to

fighting

Boss CP: 20,841
Boss HP: 15,000
Raid timer: 300s
Party used: 6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Aipom at each attacker level
Attacker level	Six of the best counter	A prepared party	A mixed local group	Prepared solo time	Faints per timer
Level 20	2(1.45)	2(1.75)	3(2.07)	8:05	6.0
Level 25	2(1.28)	2(1.54)	2(1.79)	7:07	6.0
Level 30	2(1.14)	2(1.34)	2(1.63)	6:09	5.8
Level 35	2(1.07)	2(1.25)	2(1.56)	5:46	5.7
Level 40	2(1.05)	2(1.22)	2(1.49)	5:37	5.6
Level 45	2(1.01)	2(1.18)	2(1.44)	5:26	5.5
Level 50	1(0.97)	2(1.14)	2(1.39)	5:14	5.3

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

2 trainers at level 40

Keldeo1.05

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

2 trainers at level 40

Keldeo1.05
Lucario1.16
Terrakion1.21
Blaziken1.24
Kartana1.29
Pheromosa1.37

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

2 trainers at level 40

Marshadow1.43
Gallade1.43
Mewtwo1.46
Zamazenta (Crowned Shield)1.47
Kyurem (Black)1.49
Breloom1.48

The party these numbers assume

1. Keldeo

Low Kick + Secret Sword

2. Lucario

Force Palm + Aura Sphere

3. Terrakion

Double Kick + Sacred Sword

4. Blaziken

Counter + Aura Sphere

5. Kartana

Fury Cutter + Sacred Sword

6. Pheromosa

Low Kick + Focus Blast

See the full ranked counter list for Aipom · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.